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Fisk
Wonders If Lebanon Will Head For A Civil War
When, oh
when, will the Lebanese Christians stop destroying each other?
General Michel Aoun's Free Democratic Party stood yesterday, along
with their pro-Syrian allies, against the Phalangist candidate Amin
Gemayel, father of assassinated Pierre Germayel.
Fisk insinuates that Pierre
Germayel was murdered by Syrians, or perhaps rival Christians.
Aoun's movement garnered most of the Christian vote in 2005
legislative polls, but his popularity has waned since he forged a
shock alliance last year with the Iran- and Syria-backed Shiite
militant group Hezbollah.
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Amin Germayel
Gemayel is an anti-Syrian
Christian Maronite running for the office of Lebanon's
president.
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The Assassinated Pierre
Gemayel
Pierre Gemayel, son of the
putative successful candidate Amin, was shot to death in his car
last November, and so a vote in his Christian favour, and
against his presumed killers, the Syrian security services.
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Lebanon Is
Always A Step Away from A Civil War
The President of
Lebanon must be a Maronite Christian, and Gemayel and Aoun are
the rival candidates. Christians are a 25% subset, the others
are Orthodox Christians, Sunnis, and Shiites.
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Gemayel Warns His Rival
Gemayel says "the Metn will
never be a suburb of Damascus'', adding Syria's political
allies, especially Ali Qanso, of the Syrian Social Nationalist
Party, supported Aoun. The people of these hills - where his son
is in the family crypt in Bikfaya - knew the ex-general was
"dragging them to a battle they did not want'' and the electoral
battle was "dancing over the blood of martyrs''.
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Fisk Contends The Syrians Are
Delighted
Yet again, the
Christians are being divided - much, no doubt, to Syria's
delight - and the danger of inter-Christian fighting, which last
week took the form of
stonings
and beatings in the streets of Beirut, has been increased. The
sectarian system of voting (courtesy, originally, of the League
of Nations' French Mandate) meant the Armenian Tashnak party is
supporting Aoun, a fact that has outraged the party's supporters
in the state of Armenia.
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The Lebanese Sectarian System
Because the country is divided
along Christian, Sunni, and Shiite lines Lebanon can never unite
against Israel.
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